Nate Cohn: “For Democrats, it’s a textbook challenge. In the latest New York Times/Siena College national poll, only 40 percent of voters approved of President Biden’s performance, and just 28 percent of voters said the country was heading in the right direction. No party has ever retained control of the White House when such a small share of Americans think the country is doing well.”
“The challenge for Donald Trump is much more unusual, but equally obvious: He’s a felon who attempted to overturn the last election. Usually, this would be disqualifying — and Mr. Trump still faces several more criminal cases.”
“For good measure, each side has another major (and largely self-inflicted) vulnerability on an important issue: abortion for Republicans, immigration for Democrats.”
“Nonetheless, one candidate is going to win this thing.”
