“Republicans around the country — Donald Trump’s campaign included — are exuding confidence in the days leading up to the election, buoyed by polling showing Trump in a better closing position than any of his previous elections,” Semafor reports.
“Inside Trump’s inner circle, though, that confidence is being matched with an equal amount of skepticism. The suspicion is not because the campaign is seeing dire numbers — in fact, it’s the exact opposite: The data, both internal and external, actually looks promising, something that Trump veterans aren’t used to after heading into the final days of 2016 and 2020 as clear underdogs in swing state polling.”
“Instead, there’s a persistent fear that some factor they haven’t spotted, from a polling error to unexpected turnout issues, might swing the race.”