Nate Cohn: “The polling shows many of the conditions for a successful third-party candidacy could be in place. Voters dislike both candidates. They’ve been dissatisfied with the state of the country for 20 years, but for the most part the campaign season hasn’t been focused on solutions to customary longstanding problems. It’s enough to wonder whether this might be the first time since 1992 that a third-party-candidate gains a meaningful foothold.”
“To understand the Kennedy campaign, it’s worth looking at how similar kinds of third-party bids have managed to gain support in the past, or fallen short of making a splash. For simplicity, I’ve broken down third-party candidacies into three groups that Mr. Kennedy plausibly reflects.”
