Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: “A potentially very close election, as well as recent discussions about changing how Nebraska allocates its electoral votes, reminds us that a contingent election is possible later this year.”
“That would mean a 269-269 tie in the Electoral College, or some other situation where no single candidate wins the 270 electoral votes necessary for a majority.”
“The newly-elected House would break this deadlock in January 2025. All 50 states would get a single vote, and it would take the votes of 26 state delegations to elect a president.”
“Republicans should have a majority in at least 26 state U.S. House delegations in 2025, even if they do not retain the overall House majority.”