Dan Pfeiffer: “Haley gained ground in recent months by consolidating support among the minority of the party that opposes Trump. Her gains have not come at the expense of Trump or even DeSantis. Haley has benefited from the exits of Pence and Tim Scott, and Chris Christie’s failure to catch on.”
“Haley is consolidating support among a relatively small wing of the party. In a Monmouth University poll released this week, only 37% of Republicans do not support the MAGA movement. Even if she got every one of those votes, it would be insufficient to win the nomination. Sure, she could win New Hampshire, but there is no path to victory without winning over MAGA voters.”
Nate Cohn: “Ms. Haley appeals squarely to the relatively moderate, highly educated independents and Republicans who do not support Mr. Trump, giving her the inside path to a resilient base. It’s a base that, almost by definition, even Mr. Trump can’t touch.”
