John Ellis has some thoughts on Donald Trump’s indictment in Manhattan:
- Republican primary voters are back to backing Trump, for the time being, at least. His rural and exurban base never really wavered, but there was some wobble there. You could see it in the numbers. Not anymore. His base has re-solidified.
- Fox is back to backing Trump. The power of Fox News in general elections is wildly overstated… The power of Fox News in GOP primary elections is substantial. If Fox ignores you in its news coverage or trashes you during its opinion programming, the chances of your winning a GOP nomination for local, statewide or federal office are (much) diminished. Your fund-raising will be the first casualty. Your name identification will stagnate if you’re not “covered.” If the primetime hosts go after you, your “negatives” will rise, bigly.
- Many have told us that Trump can’t possibly win a general election in 2024. It is said that this indictment makes Trump’s general election impossible… There is no evidence (from the most recent public opinion polling) to support this assertion. In poll after poll (of late) Biden and Trump are statistically tied in a hypothetical 2024 match-up.
