David Wasserman: “Our newest scorecard initiatives a Democratic internet acquire of between 0 and one seat from redistricting by myself – nearly no partisan shift from the present maps (and down from a 4 to five-seat acquire in February). That’s a unhappiness for Democrats who had was hoping that favorable state courtroom rulings in North Carolina and Pennsylvania and their very own gerrymanders in Illinois and New York would erase the Area map’s GOP skew.”
“Via a ways the most important new pro-GOP shifts in our outlook are in Florida and Ohio, the place Republicans seem to be effectively circumventing state-based anti-gerrymandering rules that when seemed like constraints on their ambitions, a minimum of for this cycle.”
“The largest shift from the 2022 remap? A endured decimation of aggressive seats.”